WHAT IF PAKISTAN DENIES BILATERAL MECHANISM WITH INDIA?
Written by: Israr Ahmed
TO begin with a possible prediction to the query needs a very succinct
historical flashback.
After two hundred years constant siege and reign,The British Raj---A messy
colonization comes to an end in the subcontinent. Meanwhile a good news is
announced that Pakistan and India will be two independent states,hence a dream
comes true in terms of the bloody legacy of partition.Millions are dead and
thousands lose their limbs and eyes, still pass congratulations to one another
upon having a free life;an independent state known as Pakistan today.
Soon after the partition, the people of princely state of Kashmir are given
a choice to join any of the states willingly.But the Maharaja Hari Singh wanted
to keep it as an independent state anyhow he is failed to do so and flies to
India and there an accession more internally autonomous, is successfully signed
on 26th October 1947.
India gives backup to the Maharaja and war is broken out with Pakistan
simultaneously.Around 1/3 of the region(Gil-Baltistan and Azad Jammu and
Kashmir) comes under the control of Pakistan and UN draws a ceasefire on 5th
January 1949.
However the story doesn't end here. After the war of 1947-48 another three
wars are fought by Pakistan and India.Of them two are directly connected with
the disputed territory of Kashmir. Likewise in 1972 Shimla Pact is signed by
the both countries and the following maxim has been taken from that agreement:
"In Jammu and Kashmir the line of control resulting from the
cease-fire of December 17,1971 shall be respected by both sides without
prejudice to the recognized position of either side. Neither side shall seek to
alter it unilaterally irrespective of mutual differences and legal
interpretations. Both sides further undertake to refrain from the threat or the
use of force in violation of this line."
Thus the bilateral reconciliation was achieved but again on 5th August 2019
the Govt. of India made a historical move while completely demolishing the
promised autonomy of Jammu and Kashmir. Similarly it becomes the integral part
of India. After the abrogation of article 370 Pakistan and India are
sentimentality clinged with the dividing lines of Jammu and Kashmir which is
currently under the curfew set by India.
Having a look at the lost special
status of Kashmir, the line of control could be seen as an effectively extended
Radcliffe Line today. All above,Pakistan rejects everything that has been
already done to Jammu and Kashmir and for the sake of its special status, few
days before a case was filed in the United Nations Security Council by
Pakistan.
Pakistan is of the opinion that India has violated the UN resolution
regarding the special status of Indian controlled Kashmir. So the recent
submission to the UNSC on behalf of J&K was held and the Govt. of Pakistan
considers the outcome very effective. On the other hand the State Subject Rule
of Jammu and Kashmir has gone now.
At the UNSC China as the permanent member and a good friend to Pakistan
stands side by side. Too, china expresses its dire concerns over the burning
issue of J&K in the UNSC and also warns the members that such an issue
could lead the two fully nuclear armed states towards a very destructive
nuclear war.
The rest four permanent representatives of the UNSC seemed stressing that
both Pakistan and India must stay away from waging any war and must follow the
bilateral mechanism to settle the dispute. This might indicates their lack of
interest or extreme interest not getting directly involved in the matter where
innocent people are under brutal conditions.
As matter of fact one must not forget, the subcontinent has been a means of
provision to the European countries since the first day.
Now the question arises here, what if Pakistan denies the bilateral
mechanism with India openly and takes a step farther, demolishing all the past
agreements, so far signed up with the Govt. of India.
Certainly this instant move of Pakistan will be judged as a signal of
threat, in terms of war which shall also destroy the countries around.To be
precise it could be a global threat if all the available nuclear technology is
used.
As per my view point, the rest of the powerful countries will never let
this warfare happen because they have huge personal paybacks yoked with
Pakistan and India. For instance how the People's Republic of China would be
seeing the complete downfall of CPEC and other mini contracts made with
Pakistan where billions of dollars have been invested to reach the heart of
Central Asia.
Will it be easy for the United States of America to deal with the Afghan
Talibans without the assistance of Pakistan, who defeated the Russians. In case
the Kashmir issue remains unsettled there could be the possibilities of new
revival of Jihadis.
Recently, upon Pakistan's PM visit to USA the President Donald Trump said
to him that he could become an arbitrator between Pakistan and India as the US
diplomacy is far reaching in such deals particularly with Pakistan.
Next how our Islamic brother country Saudi Arabia would be thinking, as its
15 billion dollars deal with India is on the way to success. Similarly Russia
and China have recently agreed to upgrade their 'comprehensive strategic
partnership of coordination for a new era.'
So keeping all this diversed and multilateral bonds of power sharing
countries in mind, one can guess to what extent they can go to stop the war as
it will directly destroy their interests.
Therefore, this could be the only way for Pakistan to win the war without
fighting any war. Pakistan should hurry to root out the Shimla agreement or all
that what the UN permanent members believe in favor of Pakistan and India, and
such bilateral tips have been a bone of contention for the poor Kashmiri masses
since 1947 or onwards.
Also Pakistan must make sure to the world that India has already violated
and internationalised those bilateral mechanisms whether it be Jawaharlal
Nehru's legacy and promises to protect the Kashmir according to their will or
India's attempt to enter the Pakistani airspace on Feb 27 2019.
All in one, Pakistan should enhance
its militarily exercises and this could be the only practical way to force the
powerful states so they can wilfully agree to play the role of mediator in
J&k issue. It will then decide the fate of Kashmiris.
Visiting and submissions to the UN proved nothing in the past and will not
probably in the future.